Live prediction market odds for #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 30, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-25
This market resolved on 2026-05-25. Janice STFU - Drake was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which song will reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of May 30, 2026. Chart positions are influenced by streaming numbers, radio play, and sales, making this a pivotal moment in the music industry.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Janice STFU - DrakeWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Be Her - Ella Langley | 2% | 50% |
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 2% | 50% |
drop dead |
The Billboard Hot 100 rankings are determined by a combination of sales data, radio airplay, and streaming activity. These metrics are aggregated to reflect the popularity of songs across various platforms.
The Billboard Hot 100 charts are updated weekly, reflecting the performance of songs over the previous week. This regular update allows for dynamic shifts in rankings based on current trends.
Prediction markets track Billboard chart positions as they provide insights into consumer preferences and trends in the music industry. These markets can reflect public sentiment and potential future outcomes based on real-time data.
#1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 30, 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Janice STFU - Drake led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Be Her - Ella Langley at 26%, Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 26%, drop dead at 26%.
Janice STFU - Drake held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Janice STFU - Drake, Be Her - Ella Langley at 26% and Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley at 26% and drop dead at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Janice STFU - Drake
74.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf BE HER is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
| 1% |
| 50% |
Ran To Atlanta - Drake | 1% | 50% |
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan | 1% | 50% |
