Smart Money

Polymarket Whale Tracker and Smart Money Feed

Live trades from Polymarket wallets with $10K+ in lifetime profit, with size, price and side on every fill.

Trader up $993K lifetime bought $3,150 of No at 63¢

22m ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi

Trader up $209K lifetime bought $1,536 of MOUZ at 66¢

25m ago
PolymarketKalshiCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $993K lifetime bought $3,150 of No at 63¢

25m ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi

Trader up $651K lifetime bought $1,316 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

27m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $70.9K lifetime bought $1,062 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

28m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $70.9K lifetime bought $1,333 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

28m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $651K lifetime bought $4,504 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

30m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $70.9K lifetime bought $2,338 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

30m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $125K lifetime bought $3,830 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

30m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $70.9K lifetime bought $1,975 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

30m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $125K lifetime bought $2,840 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

30m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $61.1K lifetime cashed out $4,995 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

31m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $1.1M lifetime bought $2,320 of MOUZ at 66¢

32m ago
PolymarketKalshiCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $70.9K lifetime bought $1,561 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

33m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $651K lifetime bought $1,131 of Saigon Warriors at 99¢

33m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $786K lifetime bought $1,111 of No at 97¢

35m ago
PolymarketPolymarket USWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Trade on Polymarket US

Trader up $651K lifetime bought $2,532 of Saigon Warriors at 99¢

38m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $167K lifetime bought $6,776 of Saigon Warriors at 99¢

38m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 4 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $99.9K lifetime bought $1,146 of MOUZ at 76¢

38m ago
PolymarketKalshiCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsTrade on Kalshi

Trader up $15.7K lifetime bought $4,771 of Saigon Warriors at $1.00

39m ago
PolymarketKalshiLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Saigon Warriors - Game 3 WinnerTrade on Kalshi

Why use our Polymarket whale tracker?

With our smart money analytics you can see market-moving trades on the Polymarket leaderboard. You can decide where to act (and on which prediction apps) based on insider signals from our real-time wallet tracker showing where the largest money is sitting.

Prediction.com's smart money feed follows wallets with a proven track record and surfaces their trades the moment they happen. All wallets must have at least $10K in lifetime realized profit on Polymarket. We filter for this proven performance so you see trades with genuine conviction.

Our Polymarket wallet tracker offers:

  • Real-time whale feed: See live qualifying smart money trades, with trade size, price, position, market, and platform shown alongside
  • A lifetime profit bar for entry: Every trader on the feed has already cleared a $10K+ track record of proven performance before their trades count as smart money
  • Per-market positioning: See which side the profitable wallets are net-buying on any individual event
  • Trade on the data anywhere: Use the smart money intel we provide to trade on whichever platform you prefer - Polymarket, Kalshi or others
  • It’s built for builders: Stream the whole feed via our API and plug our whale alerts into your own tools
  • Free access and no sign up needed for the feed: Access the live smart money feed without signing up. Create a free Prediction.com account to get a free-tier API key.

Track whale positions programmatically.

Stream smart-money flow via our API.

GET /api/v2/alerts/smart-money

How we calculate smart money consensus

We monitor trades in the prediction market in real time by pulling directly from Polymarket. Every Polymarket trade settles on the Polygon blockchain, so the fills are public: the wallet, market traded on, position, number of contracts, and price. We monitor these trades as they happen.

For each wallet we see trading, we look up its lifetime profit and loss on Polymarket, the same all-time P&L shown on a trader's public Polymarket profile. A wallet qualifies as smart money once that number clears our threshold: $10K+ for the picks and positioning feeds, with a higher bar for some alerts. We refresh this regularly, so if a wallet starts losing it will drop out of the feed.

Smart money trackers - key terms:

What are whales on Polymarket?

Whales are Polymarket top traders placing unusually large positions relative to the rest of the market. In prediction markets, these large bets can shift a contract's price meaningfully, especially in lower-liquidity markets. Large positions are also signals. A trader who’s risking so much on an outcome might suggest underlying research, specialized knowledge, or information the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

Tracking whale activity across the Polymarket leaderboard and other top prediction market traders is one way to see where conviction is concentrated.

What is smart money?

Smart money is the trend set by experienced and informed traders, and can be distinct from the direction of the market as a whole. In prediction markets, that means wallets with a genuine, profitable track record behind them. The bar for our prediction market picks is $10K+ in lifetime profit. We track when these wallets move, and also flag when several of them buy the same side.

What are signals?

A signal is the specific piece of activity that makes a trade worth acting on. This might be wallet consensus, price movements, or mispriced contracts and arbitrage opportunities. On our smart money feed, it’s usually a single large fill from a qualifying wallet, or a cluster of profitable wallets moving into the same side within a short window. Polymarket signals work the same way here, and we show the context of lifetime trader profit, fill size, and price.

Trading responsibly

Remember that smart money is a guide, and not a guarantee of results. Wallets with a strong track record can still be wrong, and past profit doesn't promise future results. A large trade isn't automatically well-informed either, and plenty of traders can be wrong when taking a large position. It’s best not to assume a trader has better information than you. Prices can also move between when a trade lands on our feed and when you act on it, so always check the current price before you trade.

You'll get more out of this data in markets you already follow or understand well. Smart money can point you toward where conviction is building, but you're still best placed to judge a market you know. Treat this data the way you'd treat any input to speculative trading. Verify each platform's resolution criteria and rules, and only trade what you can afford to lose.

Smart money FAQs

What is the Polymarket leaderboard?

A ranking of the most profitable Polymarket wallets. Prediction.com tracks wallets by lifetime realized profit and surfaces their large trades in real time, so you can see what consistently profitable traders are buying and selling right now.

How does Prediction.com identify smart money?

A wallet qualifies as smart money based on its lifetime profit on Polymarket ($10K+ for our picks and positioning feeds). We then track whale-sized fills from those wallets. The feed on this page shows each trade with its size, side, price and market.

What counts as a whale trade?

A single fill with unusually large notional value. The feed filters out any noise like near-settled markets, so what you see reflects genuine conviction.

Can I see which markets top traders are buying?

Yes. The live feed shows every tracked trade as it happens, and each event page on Prediction.com has a Smart Money panel aggregating which side profitable wallets are net-buying.

Does Prediction.com support copy trading?

No. Prediction.com surfaces smart-money activity as market intelligence. We do not place trades on your behalf. You can follow the data to any platform and trade there directly.

What is a Polymarket whale tracker?

A Polymarket whale tracker is an analytics tool or live data feed that follows large trades from high profit wallets on the Polymarket prediction market. Traders use tools like Polymarket wallet trackers on the presumption that larger trades reflect higher conviction.

Do whale trackers guarantee profits?

No. Whale trackers are a guide rather than a guarantee. A strong track record doesn't rule out a wrong call from a trader, and large trade size alone doesn't mean a position is well-informed.

Is the Prediction Hunt smart money feed available on Prediction.com?

Yes. Prediction Hunt is now Prediction.com, and the Prediction Hunt smart money feed continues on this page. It tracks the same profitable Polymarket wallets and whale trades, and old predictionhunt.com links redirect here automatically.