Live prediction market odds for 2025 Seattle Mayoral Election. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-04
This market resolved on 2025-11-04. Katie Wilson was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Katie WilsonWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Bruce Harrell | 1% | 50% |
Clinton Bliss | 1% | 50% |
Graham Gori | 1% | 50% |
Isaiah Willoughby | 1% | 50% |
Joe Mallahan | 1% | 50% |
Joe Molloy | 1% | 50% |
Ry Armstrong | 1% | 50% |
Thaddeus Whelan | 1% | 50% |
2025 Seattle Mayoral Election was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Katie Wilson led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Bruce Harrell at 26%, Clinton Bliss at 26%, Graham Gori at 26%.
Katie Wilson held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Katie Wilson, Bruce Harrell at 26% and Clinton Bliss at 26% and Graham Gori at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Katie Wilson: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Bruce Harrell: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Clinton Bliss: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Graham Gori: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Katie Wilson would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Katie Wilson
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Bruce Harrell wins the election for Mayor in Seattle in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
