Live prediction market odds for 2026 Premier League Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Opinion and Predict.fun.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Opinion / Predict.fun
Resolved 2026-05-31
This market resolved on 2026-05-31. Arsenal was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the 2026 Premier League Winner. The outcome will influence club finances, player acquisitions, and fan engagement as teams compete for the prestigious title.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
ArsenalWINNER | 99% | — | 100% |
Man City | 1% | 40% | — |
Man United | 1% | 2% |
Team performance, injuries, and transfer activity are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, historical performance and managerial changes can also play a role.
The Premier League is one of the most-watched leagues worldwide, attracting top talent and significant investment. Its outcomes can influence trends in player transfers and global fan engagement.
The Premier League season usually begins in August and runs through May. The specific start date can vary slightly each year based on scheduling.
2026 Premier League Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Opinion, Predict.fun). Arsenal led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Man City at 1%, Man United at 1%.
Arsenal held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Arsenal, Man City at 1% and Man United at 1% were the next closest contenders. The 38.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Arsenal wins the English Premier League, then the market resolves to Yes.
OpinionThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolymarketThis is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This is a market on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League.\n\nThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".\n\nIf the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.'}
| — |
Arsenal
99.4% avg
