Traders give Jon Ossoff about a 25.9% chance. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 14.5%, Gavin Newsom follows at 10.6%, and Pete Buttigieg follows at 5.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 98.2 percentage points.
Jon Ossoff is the senior U.S. senator from Georgia, serving since January 2021. Before his election, he was CEO of Insight TWI, producing investigative documentaries. He is relevant to this prediction market as a potential candidate for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.
About Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the U.S. Representative for New York's 14th congressional district. She gained national attention in 2018 by defeating Democratic Caucus Chair Joe Crowley in the Democratic primary. Her progressive platform and prominence make her a notable figure in discussions about the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.
About Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom is the Governor of California, serving his second term since 2019. He previously served as Lieutenant Governor and Mayor of San Francisco. His leadership and policy initiatives have positioned him as a prominent figure in the Democratic Party, making him a potential candidate for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election.
About Pete Buttigieg
Pete Buttigieg is a former U.S. Secretary of Transportation and former mayor of South Bend, Indiana. He served as Secretary of Transportation from 2021 to 2025 and as mayor from 2012 to 2020. Buttigieg has been active in Democratic campaigns and has expressed interest in future political leadership roles.
About Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris is a former U.S. senator and attorney general from California. She served as the 49th vice president of the United States from 2021 to 2025. Harris is considering a potential candidacy for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.
About Josh Shapiro
Josh Shapiro is the current Governor of Pennsylvania, serving since January 17, 2023. Before this, he was the state's Attorney General from 2017 to 2023. His leadership in Pennsylvania and national profile make him a notable figure in the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination race.
About Andy Beshear
Andy Beshear is the current Governor of Kentucky, serving his second term after re-election in 2023. He previously served as the state's Attorney General from 2016 to 2019. Beshear has expressed interest in running for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Democratic nomination.
About Raphael Warnock
Raphael Warnock is the junior U.S. Senator from Georgia, serving since January 2021. Before his Senate tenure, he was the senior pastor of Atlanta's Ebenezer Baptist Church, the former pulpit of Martin Luther King Jr. He has a strong track record in social justice advocacy, focusing on healthcare access, voting rights, and economic equity.
About Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly is the current U.S. Senator from Arizona, serving a full six-year term after his re-election in 2022. He previously served as a Navy combat pilot and NASA astronaut, commanding four space shuttle missions. His extensive military and space exploration experience makes him a notable figure in discussions about the 2028 U.S. Presidential Democratic Nominee.
About Wes Moore
Wes Moore is the 63rd Governor of Maryland, serving since January 18, 2023. He previously led the Robin Hood Foundation from 2017 to 2021. As governor, Moore has been recognized for his bipartisan leadership and commitment to economic opportunity.
About James Talarico
James Talarico is a Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Texas. He has served as a state representative since 2018, leading nearly 200 bills, 16 of which became law. His campaign focuses on combating political corruption and reducing living costs for Texas families.
About Ro Khanna
Ro Khanna is the U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district, serving his fifth term in the House of Representatives. He previously served as Deputy Assistant Secretary in the U.S. Department of Commerce under President Obama. Khanna is recognized for his progressive stance on technology policy and economic reform.
About Rahm Emanuel
Rahm Emanuel is a former U.S. Ambassador to Japan and former Mayor of Chicago. He served as White House Chief of Staff under President Obama and represented Illinois in the U.S. House of Representatives. His extensive political experience and leadership roles make him a significant figure in Democratic politics.
About J.B. Pritzker
J.B. Pritzker is the current Governor of Illinois, serving his second term since January 9, 2023. Before his gubernatorial tenure, he was a successful businessman and philanthropist, known for his investments in technology and healthcare. His leadership in Illinois and national political involvement make him a notable candidate for the 2028 U.S. Presidential Democratic nomination.
About Chelsea Clinton
Chelsea Clinton is Vice Chair of the Clinton Foundation, focusing on global health, women's and girls' issues, and public health preparedness. She co-founded Metrodora Ventures, a venture capital fund, in 2020. Her leadership in the Clinton Foundation and Metrodora Ventures underscores her commitment to global health and women's empowerment.
About Michelle Obama
Michelle Obama is a lawyer, writer, and former First Lady of the United States. She served as First Lady from 2009 to 2017, championing initiatives like Let's Move! and Reach Higher. She has a strong track record in public service and advocacy.
About Chris Van Hollen
Chris Van Hollen is the current U.S. Senator from Maryland, serving since 2017. Prior to his Senate tenure, he represented Maryland's 8th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2003 to 2017. As a senior member of the Senate Appropriations Committee, he plays a pivotal role in shaping federal funding decisions.
About Gretchen Whitmer
Gretchen Whitmer is the 49th Governor of Michigan, serving since January 1, 2019. She was re-elected in 2022, defeating Republican nominee Tudor Dixon. As governor, she has focused on healthcare and infrastructure legislation, signing over 1,380 bipartisan bills and six balanced budgets.
About Cory Booker
Cory Booker is the U.S. Senator for New Jersey, serving since 2013. He was the 38th Mayor of Newark from 2006 to 2013. As a senator, Booker has been a leader in criminal justice reform and economic policy.
About Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson is an American actor, producer, and professional wrestler. He is currently a member of the board of directors for TKO Group Holdings, the parent company of WWE and UFC. Johnson's extensive experience in sports, entertainment, media, and business makes him a notable figure in the industry.
About Ruben Gallego
Ruben Gallego is the junior United States Senator from Arizona, serving since January 3, 2025. He previously represented Arizona's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2023 to 2025 and the 7th district from 2015 to 2023. Gallego is a Marine Corps veteran who served in Iraq and has been a prominent advocate for veterans' issues.
About Elissa Slotkin
Elissa Slotkin is the junior U.S. Senator from Michigan, serving since January 3, 2025. She previously represented Michigan's 8th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2019 to 2025. Slotkin's extensive background includes roles as a CIA analyst and Acting Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs, highlighting her expertise in national security.
About Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders is the current U.S. Senator from Vermont, serving his fourth term after re-election in 2024. He previously served as Mayor of Burlington from 1981 to 1989 and as a U.S. Representative from 1991 to 2007. Sanders is recognized for his advocacy on issues like income inequality, healthcare reform, and climate change.
About Roy Cooper
Roy Cooper is the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina's 2026 election. He served as the 75th Governor of North Carolina from 2017 to 2025 and as Attorney General from 2001 to 2017. Cooper's extensive experience in state leadership and law enforcement underscores his qualifications for federal office.
About Jon Stewart
Jon Stewart is the host of 'The Daily Show' on Comedy Central. He hosted the program from 1999 to 2015 and returned in 2024. Stewart is known for his incisive political commentary and satirical humor.
About Barack Obama
Barack Obama is the 44th President of the United States. He served two terms from 2009 to 2017, becoming the first African American to hold the office. He is currently leading the Obama Foundation and overseeing the development of the Obama Presidential Center in Chicago.
About Chris Murphy
Chris Murphy is the junior United States Senator from Connecticut, serving since 2013. He previously represented Connecticut's 5th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2007 to 2013. Murphy is recognized for his advocacy on gun control and mental health reform.
About Stephen A. Smith
Stephen A. Smith is a featured commentator and executive producer on ESPN's 'First Take.' He signed a multi-year contract renewal with ESPN in March 2025. Smith has expressed interest in political commentary, hosting a current events and pop culture show on SiriusXM's P.O.T.U.S. channel.
About Hillary Clinton
Hillary Clinton is a professor of practice at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs and a presidential fellow at Columbia World Projects. She served as the 67th U.S. Secretary of State from 2009 to 2013. Clinton has a longstanding career in public service, including roles as First Lady, U.S. Senator, and two-time presidential candidate.
About Abigail Spanberger
Abigail Spanberger is the current Governor of Virginia, having assumed office on January 17, 2026. She previously served three terms as the U.S. Representative for Virginia's 7th congressional district from 2019 to 2025. Spanberger's extensive experience in federal service, including her tenure as a CIA officer and federal postal inspector, underscores her qualifications for high-level public office.
About Andrew Yang
Andrew Yang is the co-chair of the Forward Party, a centrist political organization he founded in 2021. He previously ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020 and for New York City mayor in 2021. Yang advocates for election reforms, including ranked-choice voting and open primaries, aiming to reduce political polarization.
About Hakeem Jeffries
Hakeem Jeffries is the Democratic Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives, representing New York's 8th congressional district. He was elected to Congress in 2013 and became Democratic Leader in 2022. As Democratic Leader, Jeffries has led the party through significant legislative challenges and is recognized for his strategic leadership and commitment to Democratic principles.
About Josh Stein
Josh Stein is the 76th governor of North Carolina, having assumed office on January 1, 2025. Before becoming governor, he served as the state's attorney general from 2017 to 2025 and represented the 16th district in the North Carolina Senate from 2009 to 2016. As governor, Stein has focused on economic development, public education, and disaster recovery efforts.
About Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani is the current Mayor of New York City, having assumed office on January 1, 2026. Prior to this, he served as a member of the New York State Assembly for the 36th district from 2021 to 2025. As a democratic socialist, Mamdani has been recognized for his progressive policies and commitment to social justice.
About Beto O’Rourke
Beto O'Rourke is a former U.S. Representative from Texas's 16th congressional district, serving from 2013 to 2019. He was the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Texas governor in 2022. O'Rourke has a history of competitive statewide campaigns, demonstrating significant fundraising and voter engagement.
About Gina Raimondo
Gina Raimondo is the Co-Chair and CEO of RAISE US, a national, nonpartisan organization partnering with states, employers, training partners, and workers to help Americans transition to an AI economy. She served as the 40th U.S. Secretary of Commerce from 2021 to 2025, focusing on enhancing America's competitiveness through job creation, innovation, and national security. As the 75th Governor of Rhode Island from 2015 to 2021, she was the state's first female governor and led significant investments in infrastructure, education, and job training.
About Jared Polis
Jared Polis is the current governor of Colorado, serving since January 8, 2019. Before his gubernatorial tenure, he represented Colorado's 2nd Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2009 to 2019. As governor, he has been recognized for his leadership in education, healthcare, and technology initiatives.
About Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett is the U.S. Representative for Texas's 30th congressional district, serving since January 2023. She previously represented the 100th district in the Texas House of Representatives from 2021 to 2023. Crockett is recognized for her advocacy on civil rights and criminal justice reform.
About Mitch Landrieu
Mitch Landrieu is an American politician, lawyer, author, speaker, nonprofit leader, and CNN political commentator. He served as the 61st Mayor of New Orleans from 2010 to 2018, leading the city's recovery from Hurricane Katrina and the BP oil spill. Landrieu is founder and president of E Pluribus Unum, an initiative in the South created to fulfill America's promise of justice and opportunity for all.
About Phil Murphy
Phil Murphy is the former Governor of New Jersey, having served from 2018 to 2026. Prior to his tenure as governor, he was the U.S. Ambassador to Germany from 2009 to 2013. Murphy's extensive experience in public service and leadership roles positions him as a significant figure in American politics.
About Adam Schiff
Adam Schiff is the junior U.S. Senator from California, serving since December 2024. He previously represented California's 30th congressional district in the House of Representatives from 2023 to 2024. Schiff has been a prominent figure in national security and foreign policy, notably as Chair of the House Intelligence Committee and as a lead impeachment manager during President Trump's first impeachment trial.
About Alex Padilla
Alex Padilla is the senior United States senator from California, serving since 2021. He previously held positions as California's Secretary of State and as a member of the California State Senate and Los Angeles City Council. Padilla's extensive experience in public service and leadership roles positions him as a significant figure in California politics.
About George Clooney
George Clooney is an American actor and filmmaker. He won an Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor for his role in 'Syriana' and has received multiple Golden Globe Awards. Clooney has been active in political and social issues, including serving as a UN Messenger of Peace and co-authoring articles on African peace initiatives.
About Graham Platner
Graham Platner is an American oyster farmer and Marine Corps veteran. He was the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Maine in 2026 but withdrew from the race in July 2026 following allegations of sexual assault. Platner's platform focused on housing affordability, universal health care, and reducing the political power of billionaires.
About John Fetterman
John Fetterman is the current U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania, serving since January 3, 2023. Prior to this, he was the Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania from 2019 to 2023 and Mayor of Braddock from 2005 to 2019. Fetterman is known for his progressive policies and focus on economic justice, criminal justice reform, and support for marginalized communities.
About Kim Kardashian
Kim Kardashian is the co-founder and Senior Operating Advisor at SKKY Partners, a private equity firm. She co-founded SKIMS, a shapewear and loungewear brand, in 2019, which was valued at $5 billion in November 2025. Kardashian has been an influential advocate for criminal justice reform, leveraging her platform to raise awareness and effect change.
About LeBron James
LeBron James is a professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers. He is a four-time NBA champion and the league's all-time leading scorer. His extensive experience and leadership in professional sports demonstrate his ability to excel in high-pressure environments.
About Liz Cheney
Liz Cheney is a former U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district, serving from 2017 to 2023. She chaired the House Republican Conference from 2019 to 2021 and was vice chair of the Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the United States Capitol. Cheney has a background in national security and foreign policy, having served at the State Department and co-authored a book on America's global role.
About Oprah Winfrey
Oprah Winfrey is the Chairwoman and CEO of Harpo Productions and the Oprah Winfrey Network (OWN). She hosted and produced 'The Oprah Winfrey Show' for 25 years, becoming a leading media figure. Winfrey has a longstanding track record in media and philanthropy, with a history of engaging in social and political issues.
About Tim Walz
Tim Walz is the 41st Governor of Minnesota, serving since 2019. He was a six-term U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 1st congressional district from 2007 to 2019. Walz's extensive experience in public service and leadership roles makes him a significant figure in the Democratic Party.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: 2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Stephen A. Smith wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Predict.fun
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee?
Polling data, candidate performances in debates, and endorsements from influential party figures significantly impact the odds. Additionally, shifts in public opinion and major events can lead to rapid changes in market sentiment.
How do prediction markets work for political nominations?
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events, such as political nominations. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning the nomination.
When will the Democratic nominee be officially determined?
The official nominee will be determined at the Democratic National Convention in August 2028. Prior to that, state primaries and caucuses will play a critical role in shaping the field of candidates.
What does the 2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest 2028 US Presidential Democratic Nominee odds?
The latest available prices are Jon Ossoff: 25.5¢ on Kalshi, 26.3¢ on Polymarket, 24.0¢ on PredictIt, 28.6¢ on Predict.fun; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 14.5¢ on Kalshi, 14.6¢ on Polymarket, 15.5¢ on PredictIt, 14.5¢ on Predict.fun; Gavin Newsom: 11.5¢ on Kalshi, 9.6¢ on Polymarket, 13.0¢ on PredictIt, 9.9¢ on Predict.fun; Pete Buttigieg: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.5¢ on Polymarket, 8.5¢ on PredictIt, 7.8¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
