Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market Promos
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for 2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt and Predict.fun.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt / Predict.fun

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee

2028-08-01

Best price · tap to trade

J.D. Vance45¢2.22xKalshiMarco Rubio20¢5.00xKalshiRon DeSantis4¢25.00xKalshi
Compare all 41 outcomes across 4 venues

About This Market

Traders give J.D. Vance about a 47.6% chance. Marco Rubio follows at 17.4%, Ron DeSantis follows at 3.5%, and Tucker Carlson follows at 3.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 39.0 percentage points.

Traders give J.D. Vance about a 47.6% chance. Marco Rubio follows at 17.4%, Ron DeSantis follows at 3.5%, and Tucker Carlson follows at 3.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 39.0 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the 2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee. Factors such as voter sentiment, primary debates, and candidate endorsements will heavily influence the odds as the election approaches.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

4 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictIt
Predict.fun
Best price
JV
J.D. VanceARB
48%
Kalshi45¢
Polymarket51¢
PredictIt42¢
Predict.fun50¢
Kalshi2.22x45¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
44.5%44¢45¢55¢56¢
PolymarketPolymarket
50.7%51¢51¢49¢49¢
PredictItPredictIt
41.0%41¢42¢58¢59¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢
MR
Marco RubioARB
17%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket16¢
PredictIt19¢
Predict.fun16¢
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarket
15.7%16¢16¢84¢84¢
PredictItPredictIt
18.5%18¢19¢81¢82¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
15.6%16¢16¢84¢85¢
RD
Ron DeSantis
4%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket3¢
PredictIt5¢
Predict.fun4¢
Kalshi22.73x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.3%4¢4¢96¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.8%3¢3¢97¢97¢
PredictItPredictIt
5.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
2.1%0¢4¢96¢100¢
TC
Tucker Carlson
3%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket3¢
—
Predict.fun4¢
Kalshi35.71x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.8%3¢3¢97¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.1%3¢3¢97¢97¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
2.1%0¢4¢96¢100¢
DT
Donald Trump Jr
3%
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket2¢
PredictIt4¢
Predict.fun78¢
Kalshi31.25x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.2%3¢3¢97¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarket
1.8%2¢2¢98¢98¢
PredictItPredictIt
3.0%3¢4¢96¢97¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
39.1%0¢78¢22¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictItPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance is the 50th Vice President of the United States, serving since January 20, 2025. He previously represented Ohio in the U.S. Senate from 2023 to 2025. His current role as Vice President makes him a prominent figure in the Republican Party, positioning him as a potential candidate for the 2028 presidential nomination.

About Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio is the current U.S. Secretary of State under President Donald Trump. He previously served as a U.S. Senator from Florida for three terms. His extensive experience in foreign policy and current diplomatic role make him a significant contender for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.

About Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis is the current Governor of Florida, serving his second term after re-election in 2022. He previously served as a U.S. Representative for Florida's 6th congressional district from 2013 to 2018. His current role as governor and his previous congressional experience make him a significant figure in Florida politics.

About Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson is a conservative media personality and host of 'The Tucker Carlson Show' on X. He previously hosted 'Tucker Carlson Tonight' on Fox News from 2016 to 2023. His influential commentary and large following make him a notable figure in Republican politics.

About Donald Trump

Donald J. Trump is the 47th President of the United States, inaugurated on January 20, 2025. He previously served as the 45th president from 2017 to 2021. His current role as president makes him the incumbent Republican nominee for the 2028 presidential election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread39.0%
Platforms4
Candidates41
Leader

J.D. Vance

47.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: 2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Donald J. Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Republican nominee?

Key factors include polling data, candidate performances in debates, and endorsements from influential party members. Changes in public opinion can also significantly impact market odds.

How do prediction markets work for political events?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes.

When will the Republican nominee be determined?

The Republican nominee will be determined during the party's primary elections, culminating in the national convention in mid-2028. This timeline is critical for shaping the political landscape leading up to the general election.

What does the 2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest 2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee odds?

The latest available prices are J.D. Vance: 44.5¢ on Kalshi, 50.7¢ on Polymarket, 41.0¢ on PredictIt, 50.0¢ on Predict.fun; Marco Rubio: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 15.7¢ on Polymarket, 18.5¢ on PredictIt, 15.6¢ on Predict.fun; Ron DeSantis: 4.3¢ on Kalshi, 2.8¢ on Polymarket, 5.0¢ on PredictIt, 2.1¢ on Predict.fun; Tucker Carlson: 2.8¢ on Kalshi, 3.1¢ on Polymarket, 2.1¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

View

PA-13 House Election Winner

View

Colorado Governor Election Winner

View

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

View

Swiss initiatives: September 2026

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will Trump name during the State of the Union address?WONPre-event: 70%Who will visit Iran before July?LOSTPre-event: 1%Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?LOSTPre-event: 2%

Prediction Market Track Record

Republican nominee for Senate in Florida in 2026?LOSTPre-event: 1%Who will Trump talk to in JanuaryWONPre-event: 95%Who will Donald Trump talk to in Apr 2026?LOSTPre-event: 87%Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?LOSTPre-event: 31%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Who will Trump name during the State of the Union address?

Resolved

2026-03-02

WONMarco Rubio
Pre-event: 70%

Who will visit Iran before July?

Resolved

2026-06-30

LOSTMarco Rubio
Pre-event: 1%

Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?

Resolved

2026-06-08

LOSTMarco Rubio
Pre-event: 2%

Republican nominee for Senate in Florida in 2026?

Resolved

2026-05-01

LOSTRon DeSantis
Pre-event: 1%

Who will Trump talk to in January

Resolved

2026-01-31

WONRon DeSantis
Pre-event: 95%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Apr 2026?

Resolved

2026-04-30

LOSTRon DeSantis
Pre-event: 87%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jul 2026?

Resolved

2026-07-31

LOSTRon DeSantis
Pre-event: 31%

Who will attend the State of the Union?

Resolved

2026-02-24

LOSTTucker Carlson
Pre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will attend the State of the Union?LOSTPre-event: 0%

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

JD Vance Reaches 45% to Lead 2028 GOP Nomination MarketsMarkets price Vance as frontrunner despite AtlasIntel showing Rubio ahead 45.4% to 29.6%; Polymarket and Kalshi diverge by 33 points on his odds.May 28, 2026
Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $10.7K lifetime sold $1.1K of No at 49¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $10.7K lifetime sold $980 of No at 49¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $744K lifetime sold $1.1K of Yes at 51¢

3d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $155K lifetime sold $2.6K of Yes at 51¢

5d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $214K lifetime bet $520 on No at 85¢

6d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trade on Kalshi →