About This Market
SharePolymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the 2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee. Factors such as voter sentiment, primary debates, and candidate endorsements will heavily influence the odds as the election approaches.
Elise Stefanik leads the “2028 US Presidential Republican Nominee” event at 49.7% implied probability. Other contenders include J.D. Vance (33.7%), Marco Rubio (27.1%), Tucker Carlson (6.0%), and Ron DeSantis (4.5%). A 99.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.



