Live prediction market odds for Announcers at Holloway vs Oliveira. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-07
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out is priced at 67.8% implied probability for the “Announcers at Holloway vs Oliveira” event. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Announcers at Holloway vs Oliveira is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out leads at 68% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out currently leads at 68% implied probability. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out: 66¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ means the market estimates a 68% probability that Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out will be the outcome. Buying one share at 68¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 47% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the play by play or color commentator(s) says Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out as part of Holloway vs Oliveira professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the Holloway vs Oliveira professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Holloway vs Oliveira professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payout Criterion: - The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise NOT included. Please see full rules for more details. - Commentary will count once the 1st round has begun and end once the referee has decided the fight; for example, commentary after the referee raises the winner's hand will NOT count. - Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements with the announcers will NOT. - Previously aired content, archival footage, or recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will NOT count. - If a no contest is called in the fight or the ref calls the fight early commentary will continue to count until the winner is officially declared by the ring announcer. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
Knockout / Knock Out / Knocked Out
67.8% avg
