Live prediction market odds for Learner Tien vs. Cristian Garin. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-24
Learner Tien vs. Cristian Garin — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Learner Tien leads the “Learner Tien vs. Cristian Garin” event at 62.8% implied probability, followed by Cristian Garin at 37.3%. A 5.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Learner Tien vs. Cristian Garin is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Learner Tien leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Cristian Garin at 37%.
Learner Tien currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Learner Tien, Cristian Garin at 37% are the next closest contenders. The 5.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Learner Tien: 66¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Cristian Garin: 35¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. The 5.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Learner Tien will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Learner Tien wins the Garin vs Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Garin vs Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Garin and Learner Tien in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Garin' if Cristian Garin advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Cristian Garin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Learner Tien
62.8% avg
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner TienRoland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner TienRoland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien