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Live prediction market odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi

Thiago Agustin Tirante Wins: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Resolved 2026-05-24

This market resolved on 2026-05-24. Thiago Agustin Tirante was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-05-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

1 platform
Candidate
Kalshi
Thiago Agustin TiranteWINNER
99%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
1%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz" and why did it matter?

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz was a prediction market event tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Thiago Agustin Tirante led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pablo Llamas Ruiz at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz"?

Thiago Agustin Tirante held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Thiago Agustin Tirante, Pablo Llamas Ruiz at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi: Thiago Agustin Tirante: 99¢ on Kalshi. Pablo Llamas Ruiz: 1¢ on Kalshi. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Thiago Agustin Tirante would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates2
Winner

Market Rulebook: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Thiago Agustin Tirante wins the Llamas Ruiz vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Llamas Ruiz vs Tirante professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Thiago Agustin Tirante

99.0% avg

No price history available