Live prediction market odds for Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi
Resolved 2026-05-27
This market resolved on 2026-05-27. Tommy Paul was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-05-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Tommy PaulWINNER | 99% |
Lorenzo Sonego | 1% |
Tommy Paul vs. Lorenzo Sonego was a prediction market event tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Tommy Paul led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Lorenzo Sonego at 1%.
Tommy Paul held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tommy Paul, Lorenzo Sonego at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi: Tommy Paul: 99¢ on Kalshi. Lorenzo Sonego: 1¢ on Kalshi. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Tommy Paul would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tommy Paul wins the Sonego vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Sonego vs Paul professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Tommy Paul in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Lorenzo Sonego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Tommy Paul
99.0% avg
