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Live prediction market odds for Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin

2026-05-24

About This Market

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Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Alexei Popyrin leads the “Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin” event at 88.3% implied probability, followed by Zachary Svajda at 12.5%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
AP
Alexei Popyrin
88% Avg
Kalshi89¢
Polymarket88¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
88.5%88¢89¢11¢12¢
PolymarketPolymarket
87.5%87¢88¢12¢13¢
ZS
Zachary Svajda
13% Avg
Kalshi13¢
Polymarket13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin" and why does it matter?

Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexei Popyrin leads at 88% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Zachary Svajda at 13%.

What is moving the odds on "Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin"?

Alexei Popyrin currently leads at 88% implied probability. Behind Alexei Popyrin, Zachary Svajda at 13% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexei Popyrin: 89¢ on Kalshi, 88¢ on Polymarket. Zachary Svajda: 13¢ on Kalshi, 13¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Alexei Popyrin is at 88%?

A price of 88¢ means the market estimates a 88% probability that Alexei Popyrin will be the outcome. Buying one share at 88¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 14% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Zachary Svajda vs. Alexei Popyrin

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Alexei Popyrin wins the Popyrin vs Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Popyrin vs Svajda professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Zachary Svajda in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexei Popyrin' if Alexei Popyrin advances against Zachary Svajda. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Alexei Popyrin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread1.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Alexei Popyrin

88.3% avg

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PolymarketRoland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda
BUYAlexei Popyrin@ 34¢$9.0M PnL
Payout$1,750
Stake$595.00
7d ago
PolymarketRoland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda
BUYAlexei Popyrin@ 34¢$9.0M PnL
Payout$1,750
Stake$595.00
7d ago
PolymarketRoland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda
BUYZachary Svajda@ 66¢$2.1M PnL
Payout$2,349
Stake$1,540.25
7d ago
PolymarketRoland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda
BUYZachary Svajda@ 67¢$113K PnL
Payout$2,299
Stake$1,540.25
7d ago
PolymarketRoland Garros ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Zachary Svajda
BUYZachary Svajda@ 67¢$220K PnL
Payout$2,299
Stake$1,540.25
7d ago