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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 51.5% // +$5150.00

Live prediction market odds for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Arsenal FC Wins: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Resolved 2026-05-24

This market resolved on 2026-05-24. Arsenal FC was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Crystal Palace and Arsenal on May 24, 2026. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they vie for positioning in the league standings, impacting their chances for European competition next season.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Arsenal FCWINNER
99%48%
Crystal Palace FC
1%26%

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the implications of this match for both teams?

Both Crystal Palace and Arsenal are competing for valuable points that could determine their standings in the league. A win could enhance their chances for European competition.

How do prediction markets reflect team performance leading up to the match?

Prediction markets adjust odds based on recent team performances, injuries, and other factors. These dynamics provide insights into how bettors perceive each team's likelihood of winning.

What factors might influence the odds before the match?

Injuries, player form, and head-to-head statistics are key factors that can sway the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and betting volume can also impact market prices leading up to the game.

What was "Crystal Palace vs Arsenal" and why did it matter?

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arsenal FC led the market at 73% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Crystal Palace FC at 13%.

What moved the odds on "Crystal Palace vs Arsenal"?

Arsenal FC held the lead at 73% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Arsenal FC, Crystal Palace FC at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 51.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread51.5%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Arsenal FC

73.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Crystal Palace wins the Crystal Palace vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Crystal Palace vs Arsenal professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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