Live prediction market odds for English Premier League - Top 4 Finish. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-27
This market resolved on 2026-05-27. Aston Villa was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for a top 4 finish in the English Premier League. This event is crucial as it determines which teams qualify for prestigious European competitions, impacting club finances and player recruitment strategies.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Aston VillaWINNER | 99% | 59% |
Liverpool | 1% | 41% |
Team performance, injuries, and head-to-head matchups significantly impact the odds. Additionally, the strength of the competition and remaining fixtures play a crucial role.
Clubs that finish in the top 4 gain access to the UEFA Champions League, which offers substantial financial rewards. This qualification also enhances a club's reputation, aiding in attracting top talent.
The Premier League season usually concludes in May, with the final matches determining the standings. The exact date can vary slightly each year based on the league schedule.
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aston Villa led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Liverpool at 21%.
Aston Villa held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Aston Villa, Liverpool at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 40.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “English Premier League - Top 4 Finish” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Aston Villa is one of the English Premier League Top 4 Finishers, then the market resolves to Yes.
This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes.
PolymarketThis is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Aston Villa
79.0% avg
