Live prediction market odds for GA-05 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-19
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for Georgia's 5th congressional district in the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party dynamics and representation in Congress, making it a focal point for both local and national political strategies.
Arnetress Beatty is priced at 6.5% implied probability for the “GA-05 Democratic nominee” event. A 7.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are shaped by candidate popularity, fundraising success, and endorsements. Polling data and voter sentiment also play crucial roles leading up to the election.
Georgia's 5th district is a key area for the Democratic Party, often seen as a stronghold. Winning this seat can help maintain or expand the party's influence in Congress.
The election for the Democratic nominee in Georgia's 5th district is scheduled for May 19, 2026. This date is critical for candidates as they ramp up their campaigns.
GA-05 Democratic nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arnetress Beatty leads at 7% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Arnetress Beatty currently leads at 7% implied probability. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Arnetress Beatty
6.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Arnetress Beatty wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 GA-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
