Live prediction market odds for GA-14 special election winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-02-15
This market resolved on 2026-02-15. Clayton Fuller was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Clayton FullerWINNER | 98% | — | 93% |
Shawn Harris | 3% | 3% | — |
Colton Moore | 1% | — | 1% |
Tom Gray | 1% | — | 1% |
GA-14 special election winner was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Clayton Fuller led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Shawn Harris at 3%, Colton Moore at 1%, Tom Gray at 1%.
Clayton Fuller held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Clayton Fuller, Shawn Harris at 3% and Colton Moore at 1% and Tom Gray at 1% were the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt: Clayton Fuller: 98¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on PredictIt. Shawn Harris: 3¢ on Kalshi, 3¢ on Polymarket. Colton Moore: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on PredictIt. Tom Gray: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on PredictIt. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Clayton Fuller would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Clayton Fuller
95.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Colton Moore wins the 2026 GA-14 special election (including any runoffs) in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If a runoff occurs, the market will resolve to the winner of the runoff election.
