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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 73.5% // +$7350.00

Live prediction market odds for Manchester City vs Aston Villa. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Manchester City vs Aston Villa

2026-05-24

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Manchester City and Aston Villa on May 24, 2026. The outcome of this game could influence league standings and playoff qualifications, making it a crucial event for both teams and their supporters.

Manchester City FC is priced at 37.8% implied probability for the “Manchester City vs Aston Villa” event. A 73.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
MC
Manchester City FC
62% Avg
Kalshi100¢
Polymarket75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%0¢100¢0¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
74.5%74¢75¢25¢26¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is at stake in the Manchester City vs Aston Villa match?

The match could determine playoff qualifications and impact league standings. Both teams are vying for crucial points as the season approaches its conclusion.

How do prediction markets reflect the likelihood of each outcome?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time odds based on betting activity and expert analysis. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in public sentiment and team performance leading up to the match.

What factors influence the odds for this match?

Team form, player injuries, and historical performance in head-to-head matchups are key factors. Additionally, external conditions such as weather and home-field advantage can also impact the odds.

What is "Manchester City vs Aston Villa" and why does it matter?

Manchester City vs Aston Villa is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Manchester City FC leads at 38% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Manchester City vs Aston Villa"?

Manchester City FC currently leads at 38% implied probability. The 73.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread73.5%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Manchester City FC

Market Rulebook: Manchester City vs Aston Villa

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Manchester City wins the Manchester City vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Manchester City vs Aston Villa professional EPL soccer game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
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37.8% avg

No price history available