Live prediction market odds for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-27
This market resolved on 2026-05-27. Total over 4.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Total over 4.5WINNER | — | 100% | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 99% | 99% | 97% |
San Francisco Giants | 1% |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (3:45 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Total over 4.5 led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arizona Diamondbacks at 98%, San Francisco Giants at 3%, Total under 4.5 at 0%.
Total over 4.5 held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Total over 4.5, Arizona Diamondbacks at 98% and San Francisco Giants at 3% and Total under 4.5 at 0% were the next closest contenders. The 5.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Total over 4.5: 100¢ on Polymarket. Arizona Diamondbacks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. San Francisco Giants: 1¢ on Kalshi, 1¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. Total under 4.5: 0¢ on Polymarket. The 5.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Total over 4.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Arizona wins the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Arizona vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for May 27 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| 6% |
Total under 4.5 | — | 0% | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 1.5 | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — |
Arizona Diamondbacks
98.4% avg
