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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 8.1% // +$808.00

Live prediction market odds for Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX

Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 Wins: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET)

Resolved 2026-05-28

This market resolved on 2026-05-28. Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

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Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-28. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

3 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
ProphetX
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5WINNER
—100%—
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5
99%100%—
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5
99%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET)" and why did it matter?

Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5 at 99%, Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5 at 99%, Atlanta Braves spread minus 3.5 at 99%.

What moved the odds on "Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET)"?

Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5, Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5 at 99% and Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5 at 99% and Atlanta Braves spread minus 3.5 at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 8.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What were the final odds for "Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET)" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5: 100¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Atlanta Braves spread minus 3.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 8.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What did 100% odds for Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 mean?

A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread8.1%

Market Rulebook: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (4:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Boston wins the Atlanta vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Atlanta vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for May 28 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
100%
—
Atlanta Braves spread minus 3.5
99%100%—
Total over 4.5
99%100%—
Total over 9.5
99%100%—
Atlanta Braves
99%100%92%
Over 1.5 runs scored
99%——
Over 11.5 runs scored
99%——
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%——
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%——
Total over 10.5
99%99%—
Total over 5.5
99%99%—
Total over 6.5
99%99%—
Total over 7.5
99%99%—
Total over 8.5
99%99%—
Boston Red Sox
1%0%6%
Boston Red Sox spread minus 1.5
1%——
Boston Red Sox spread minus 2.5
1%——
Boston Red Sox spread minus 3.5
1%——
Total under 10.5
—1%—
Total under 5.5
—1%—
Total under 6.5
—1%—
Total under 7.5
—1%—
Total under 8.5
—1%—
Boston Red Sox spread plus 1.5
—0%—
Boston Red Sox spread plus 2.5
—0%—
Boston Red Sox spread plus 3.5
—0%—
Total under 4.5
—0%—
Total under 9.5
—0%—
Boston Red Sox spread plus 4.5
—0%—
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5
———
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5
———
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5
———
Platforms
3
Candidates2
Winner

Atlanta Braves

96.9% avg