Live prediction market odds for Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-27
This market resolved on 2026-05-27. New York M was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New York MWINNER | 99% | — | — |
New York M wins by over 1.5 runs | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets (7:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York M led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New York M wins by over 1.5 runs at 99%, Over 2.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 2.5 runs scored at 99%.
New York M held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York M, New York M wins by over 1.5 runs at 99% and Over 2.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 2.5 runs scored at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 68.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York M: 99¢ on Kalshi. New York M wins by over 1.5 runs: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 68.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that New York M would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York M wins the Cincinnati vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets, scheduled for May 27 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
New York Mets | 99% | 76% | 95% |
New York Mets spread plus 3.5 | — | 93% | — |
New York Mets spread plus 2.5 | — | 90% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | 75% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 4.5 | — | 86% | — |
New York Mets spread plus 1.5 | — | 85% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 81% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 57% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 72% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | 69% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 66% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | 56% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 55% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | 44% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | 70% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 34% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | 66% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 31% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 25% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | 46% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 45% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | 34% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 31% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | 28% | — |
New York Mets spread minus 4.5 | — | 14% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | 19% | — |
Cincinnati Reds | 1% | 24% | 9% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 16% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 10% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 3.5 | 2% | 7% | — |
Cincinnati wins by over 3.5 runs | 2% | — | — |
Cincinnati | 1% | — | — |
Cincinnati wins by over 1.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Cincinnati wins by over 2.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
New York M wins by over 2.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
New York M wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Over 10.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 6.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 7.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 8.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 9.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
New York M
99.0% avg
