Live prediction market odds for Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-24
This market resolved on 2026-05-24. Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5WINNER | 99% | 100% | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 2.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 3.5 runs scored at 99%, Cleveland Guardians at 99%.
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5, Over 2.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 3.5 runs scored at 99% and Cleveland Guardians at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 3.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Cleveland Guardians: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Cleveland vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cleveland vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for May 24 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| — |
Cleveland Guardians | 99% | 100% | 98% |
Philadelphia Phillies | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 3% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 3% | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | 0% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — |
Cleveland Guardians
98.9% avg
