Live prediction market odds for Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-23
This market resolved on 2026-05-23. Over 2.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 runs scoredWINNER | 95% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 87% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 83% | — | — |
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles (4:05 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 2.5 runs scored led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 3.5 runs scored at 87%, Over 4.5 runs scored at 83%, Over 5.5 runs scored at 74%.
Over 2.5 runs scored held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 2.5 runs scored, Over 3.5 runs scored at 87% and Over 4.5 runs scored at 83% and Over 5.5 runs scored at 74% were the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 2.5 runs scored: 95¢ on Kalshi. Over 3.5 runs scored: 87¢ on Kalshi. Over 4.5 runs scored: 83¢ on Kalshi. Over 5.5 runs scored: 74¢ on Kalshi. The 2.0% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Over 2.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Detroit vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Detroit vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 23 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Over 5.5 runs scored | 74% | — | — |
Over 6.5 runs scored | 64% | — | — |
Over 7.5 runs scored | 54% | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles | 54% | 52% | 53% |
Detroit Tigers | 48% | 48% | 49% |
Over 8.5 runs scored | 47% | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs | 36% | — | — |
Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs | 35% | — | — |
Over 9.5 runs scored | 35% | — | — |
Over 10.5 runs scored | 29% | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 runs | 26% | — | — |
Detroit wins by over 2.5 runs | 25% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 22% | — | — |
Detroit wins by over 3.5 runs | 19% | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 18% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 17% | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles
53.1% avg
