Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-23
This market resolved on 2026-05-23. Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5WINNER | 99% | 100% | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Houston Astros | 99% |
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 at 99%, Houston Astros at 99%, Over 1.5 runs scored at 99%.
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Houston Astros spread minus 1.5, Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 at 99% and Houston Astros at 99% and Over 1.5 runs scored at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Houston Astros spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Houston Astros spread minus 2.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Houston Astros: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Over 1.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 2:20 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for May 23 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| 100% |
| 99% |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Astros wins by over 4.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Astros wins by over 5.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Chicago Cubs | 1% | 0% | 7% |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 1.5 | — | 0% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 2.5 | — | 0% | — |
Chicago Cubs spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Chicago Cubs spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 3.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — |
Houston Astros
99.3% avg
