Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds (7:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-06-01
This market resolved on 2026-06-01. Over 3.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds (7:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-06-01. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 3.5 runs scoredWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | 98% |
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds (7:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 3.5 runs scored led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 4.5 runs scored at 99%, Total over 5.5 at 98%, Kansas City Royals at 91%.
Over 3.5 runs scored held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 3.5 runs scored, Over 4.5 runs scored at 99% and Total over 5.5 at 98% and Kansas City Royals at 91% were the next closest contenders. The 59.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 3.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 4.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Total over 5.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket. Kansas City Royals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 76¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. The 59.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Over 3.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Cincinnati wins the Kansas City vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for June 1 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| — |
Kansas City Royals | 99% | 76% | 98% |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 4.5 | — | 98% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 97% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 96% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | 94% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | 93% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | 86% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | 81% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | 87% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 68% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | 67% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 99% | 57% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 3.5 | 96% | 45% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 3.5 | — | 55% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 2.5 | — | 44% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 40% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 33% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread plus 1.5 | — | 33% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | 61% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 19% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 14% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 13% | — |
Cincinnati Reds | 1% | 24% | 4% |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 8% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 4% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 6% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 3% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 2% | — |
Cincinnati Reds spread minus 4.5 | — | 2% | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Kansas City Royals
91.1% avg
