Live prediction market odds for Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-31
This market resolved on 2026-05-31. Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5WINNER | 99% | 100% | — |
Texas Rangers spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 4.5 | 99% |
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers (2:35 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Texas Rangers spread minus 1.5 at 99%, Total over 4.5 at 99%, Total over 5.5 at 99%.
Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5, Texas Rangers spread minus 1.5 at 99% and Total over 4.5 at 99% and Total over 5.5 at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 5.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Texas Rangers spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Total over 4.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Total over 5.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 5.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Texas Rangers spread minus 2.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Texas wins the Kansas City vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kansas City vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Texas Rangers, scheduled for May 31 at 2:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| 100% |
| — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Texas Rangers | 99% | — | 98% |
Kansas City Royals | 1% | — | 7% |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Texas Rangers spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 1.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 0% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 2.5 | — | 0% | — |
Kansas City Royals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Kansas City Royals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Texas Rangers spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
Texas Rangers spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Texas Rangers spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Texas Rangers spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — |
Texas Rangers
98.5% avg
