Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-31
This market resolved on 2026-05-31. Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5WINNER | 99% | 100% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 99% |
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (1:35 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 at 99%, Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 at 99%, Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 at 99%.
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5, Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 at 99% and Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 at 99% and Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 at 99% were the next closest contenders. A 1.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 1.0% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 31 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| 100% |
| — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 99% | — | 98% |
Minnesota Twins | 1% | — | 2% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | 0% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | 0% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | 0% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 0% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates
98.5% avg
