Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-29
This market resolved on 2026-05-29. Total over 5.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Total over 5.5WINNER | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 100% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% |
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (6:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Total over 5.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Total over 6.5 at 99%, Total over 8.5 at 99%, Over 2.5 runs scored at 99%.
Total over 5.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Total over 5.5, Total over 6.5 at 99% and Total over 8.5 at 99% and Over 2.5 runs scored at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 83.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Total over 5.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Total over 6.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Total over 8.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 83.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Total over 5.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 29 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 99% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | 97% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | 95% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 4.5 | — | 95% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 3.5 | — | 93% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 2.5 | — | 88% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread plus 1.5 | — | 79% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | 78% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | 69% | — |
Minnesota Twins | 1% | 61% | 85% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | 56% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | 85% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 99% | 40% | 22% |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 45% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 32% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 16% | — |
Minnesota Twins spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 22% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 21% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 13% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 6% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 4.5 | — | 5% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 8% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 3% | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 1% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 0% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 0% | — |
Minnesota Twins
48.8% avg
