Live prediction market odds for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-06-09
This market resolved on 2026-06-09. Over 1.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-06-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 1.5 runs scoredWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 1.5 runs scored led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 2.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 3.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 4.5 runs scored at 99%.
Over 1.5 runs scored held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 1.5 runs scored, Over 2.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 3.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 4.5 runs scored at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 93.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 1.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 3.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 4.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 93.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Over 1.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the New York Y vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the New York Y vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 9, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 9 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | 95% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 4.5 | — | 91% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | 90% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 3.5 | — | 86% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | 83% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | 80% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 2.5 | — | 80% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | 77% | — |
New York Yankees | 99% | 47% | 98% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | 71% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread plus 1.5 | — | 71% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 65% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | 64% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | 58% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 52% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | 48% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 42% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 37% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | 36% | — |
Cleveland Guardians | 1% | 54% | 8% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 30% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 29% | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 21% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 20% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 17% | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 14% | — |
Cleveland Guardians spread minus 2.5 | 2% | 23% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 11% | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | 9% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 6% | — |
New York Yankees
81.1% avg
