Live prediction market odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-27
This market resolved on 2026-05-27. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 99% |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres (4:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Philadelphia Phillies led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 1.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 2.5 runs scored at 99%, Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 at 99%.
Philadelphia Phillies held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Philadelphia Phillies, Over 1.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 2.5 runs scored at 99% and Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 at 99% were the next closest contenders. A 1.9% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Philadelphia Phillies: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Over 1.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. The 1.9% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Philadelphia Phillies would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the Philadelphia vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Philadelphia vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 27 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| — |
| — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 99% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 99% | 99% | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
San Diego Padres | 1% | 0% | 2% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5 | — | 1% | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5 | — | 1% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Phillies
99.3% avg
