Live prediction market odds for San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-29
This market resolved on 2026-05-29. Over 3.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 3.5 runs scoredWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 3.5 runs scored led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 4.5 runs scored at 99%, Over 5.5 runs scored at 99%, Total over 6.5 at 98%.
Over 3.5 runs scored held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 3.5 runs scored, Over 4.5 runs scored at 99% and Over 5.5 runs scored at 99% and Total over 6.5 at 98% were the next closest contenders. The 81.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 3.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 4.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Over 5.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Total over 6.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on Polymarket. The 81.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Over 3.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET)” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf San Diego wins the San Diego vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Diego vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 29 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 97% | — |
San Diego Padres | 99% | 25% | 98% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 92% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | 90% | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 | — | 89% | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5 | — | 89% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | 77% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | 72% | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5 | — | 82% | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5 | — | 82% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | 54% | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 3.5 | — | 69% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | 63% | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 18% | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 2.5 | — | 56% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 46% | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5 | 2% | 68% | — |
San Diego Padres spread plus 1.5 | — | 32% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 28% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 24% | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 44% | — |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | 37% | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 4.5 | — | 18% | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 31% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 10% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 8% | — |
Washington Nationals | 1% | 76% | 7% |
San Diego Padres spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 11% | — |
San Diego Padres spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 11% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 3% | — |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
San Diego Padres
73.8% avg
