Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-27
This market resolved on 2026-05-27. Baltimore was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
BaltimoreWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles | 99% | 97% | 99% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | 99% |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (6:35 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Baltimore led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Baltimore Orioles at 98%, Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 at 99%, Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs at 99%.
Baltimore held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Baltimore, Baltimore Orioles at 98% and Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 at 99% and Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs at 99% were the next closest contenders. The 69.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Baltimore: 99¢ on Kalshi. Baltimore Orioles: 99¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5: 99¢ on Polymarket. Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs: 99¢ on Kalshi. The 69.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Baltimore would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for May 27 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| — |
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs | 99% | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 runs | 99% | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 99% | — | — |
Over 10.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 6.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 7.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 8.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Over 9.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 99% | 94% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | 93% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 99% | 86% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | 82% | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 3.5 | 99% | 79% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | 67% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | 54% | — |
Total under 12.5 | — | 71% | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 70% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | 40% | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | 30% | — |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | 30% | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | 60% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 47% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | 33% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | 21% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 18% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | 14% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 7% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | 7% | — |
Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs | 2% | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 2% | 1% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays | 1% | 3% | 1% |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Baltimore
99.0% avg
