Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-24
This market resolved on 2026-05-24. New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5WINNER | 99% | 99% | — |
Over 1.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — |
New York Yankees | 99% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees (1:35 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Over 1.5 runs scored at 99%, New York Yankees at 86%, Tampa Bay Rays at 16%.
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York Yankees spread minus 1.5, Over 1.5 runs scored at 99% and New York Yankees at 86% and Tampa Bay Rays at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 30.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York Yankees spread minus 1.5: 99¢ on Kalshi, 99¢ on Polymarket. Over 1.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. New York Yankees: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on ProphetX. Tampa Bay Rays: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on ProphetX. The 30.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New York Y wins the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees, scheduled for May 24 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
| 73% |
Tampa Bay Rays | 1% | — | 31% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Over 11.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | 1% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | — |
New York Yankees
85.8% avg
