Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-05-24
This market resolved on 2026-05-24. Over 2.5 runs scored was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-05-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Over 2.5 runs scoredWINNER | 99% | — | — |
Total under 11.5 | — | 99% | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 | — | 99% |
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves (4:10 PM ET) was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Over 2.5 runs scored led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Total under 11.5 at 99%, Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 at 99%, Total under 10.5 at 98%.
Over 2.5 runs scored held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Over 2.5 runs scored, Total under 11.5 at 99% and Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5 at 99% and Total under 10.5 at 98% were the next closest contenders. The 28.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Over 2.5 runs scored: 99¢ on Kalshi. Total under 11.5: 99¢ on Polymarket. Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5: 99¢ on Polymarket. Total under 10.5: 98¢ on Polymarket. The 28.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Over 2.5 runs scored would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Washington vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Washington vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for May 24 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Total under 10.5 | — | 98% | — |
Total under 9.5 | — | 95% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 3.5 | — | 94% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | 91% | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5 | — | 91% | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | 89% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | 87% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 2.5 | — | 87% | — |
Washington Nationals | 99% | 71% | 79% |
Atlanta Braves spread plus 1.5 | — | 71% | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 29% | — |
Atlanta Braves | 1% | 29% | 29% |
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 14% | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | 13% | — |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | 11% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 1.5 | 1% | 10% | — |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | 9% | — |
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | 7% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | 5% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 3% | 2% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 2.5 | 1% | 1% | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 1% | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | 1% | — |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | — |
Atlanta Braves spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — |
Washington Nationals
82.9% avg
