Live prediction market odds for Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-17
This market resolved on 2026-05-17. Rousey was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Netflix MMA Special featuring Rousey vs Carano held on May 17, 2026. This event is significant as it marks a high-profile return to the ring for both fighters, drawing attention from fans and analysts alike, influencing betting dynamics and media coverage.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
RouseyWINNER | 99% | 84% |
Carano | 1% | 16% |
The match represents a major comeback for both fighters, potentially impacting their legacies in the sport. It also serves as a key event for MMA fans and the entertainment industry.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time betting data, showcasing how public perception evolves leading up to the event. Changes in odds can indicate shifts in confidence regarding the fighters' performances.
Odds are influenced by various factors including fighter statistics, past performances, training camps, and public sentiment. Media coverage and promotional events also play a role in shaping market expectations.
Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rousey led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Carano at 9%.
Rousey held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Rousey, Carano at 9% were the next closest contenders. The 15.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Rousey
91.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Ronda Rousey wins the Rousey vs Carano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rousey vs Carano professional MMA fight originally scheduled for May 16, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
