Live prediction market odds for New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Deb Haaland was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi and PredictIt are tracking the nomination for the Democratic candidate for Governor of New Mexico. This event is pivotal as it will determine the party's representative in the upcoming gubernatorial election, influencing state policies and political dynamics.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Deb HaalandWINNER | 100% | 99% |
Sam Bregman | 0% | 1% |
Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising capabilities, and endorsements from key party figures. Additionally, polling data and voter sentiment play critical roles in shaping the nomination process.
The nomination is set for June 2, 2026, aligning with the state's primary election schedule. This timing is crucial as it precedes the general election.
Prediction markets aggregate real-time betting odds to reflect the perceived chances of each candidate. These odds fluctuate based on new information, such as campaign developments and public opinion shifts.
New Mexico Democratic Governor nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Deb Haaland led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sam Bregman at 1%.
Deb Haaland held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Deb Haaland, Sam Bregman at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Deb Haaland
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Deb Haaland wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Mexico Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
