About This Market
SharePolymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner for the upcoming election on May 19, 2026. This primary is crucial as it will determine the Democratic candidate who will compete for a Senate seat, influencing the party's strategy and voter engagement in the general election.
Jeff Merkley leads the “Oregon Democratic Senate Primary Winner” event at 97.4% implied probability, followed by Jacob Ryan at 3.5%. A 2.9% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
