Live prediction market odds for South Carolina Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-06-09
This market resolved on 2026-06-09. Lindsey Graham was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the South Carolina Republican Senate nominee for the upcoming election. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading into the 2026 elections, particularly in a key battleground state.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Lindsey GrahamWINNER | 100% | 99% |
Mark Lynch | 0% | 1% |
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts significantly impact the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and national political trends can alter market perceptions.
As a pivotal state, South Carolina's Senate race can influence national party strategies and voter turnout. Winning this seat is crucial for both parties in maintaining or gaining control of the Senate.
The nomination process typically includes primaries and caucuses leading up to the general election. Candidates will campaign vigorously in the months leading to the June 2026 election date.
South Carolina Republican Senate nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Lindsey Graham led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Mark Lynch at 1%.
Lindsey Graham held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Lindsey Graham, Mark Lynch at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lindsey Graham wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Senate South Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Lindsey Graham
99.5% avg
