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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 45.5% // +$4545.00

Live prediction market odds for Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion.

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Polymarket / Opinion

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

2026-03-31

About This Market

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Polymarket and Opinion are tracking the possibility of Tim Cook stepping down as Apple CEO by March 31, 2026. This event could have major implications for Apple's leadership direction and stock performance, especially amid ongoing discussions about the company's future strategies and innovations.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31 is priced at 27.3% implied probability for the “Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31” event. A 45.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
TC
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31ARB
27% Avg
Polymarket50¢
Opinion9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢
OpinionOpinion
4.5%0¢9¢91¢100¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could lead to Tim Cook's departure from Apple?

Factors may include company performance, shareholder pressure, or personal decisions regarding leadership. Market sentiment often shifts based on Apple's product launches and financial results.

How do prediction markets assess the likelihood of Tim Cook leaving?

Prediction markets analyze real-time data, including news reports and investor sentiment, to gauge the probability of events. Prices reflect collective opinions on the likelihood of Tim Cook's departure.

What impact would Tim Cook's exit have on Apple?

A change in leadership could alter Apple's strategic direction and innovation focus. Investors may react strongly, influencing stock prices and market confidence.

What is "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?" and why does it matter?

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Opinion). Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31 leads at 27% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?"?

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31 currently leads at 27% implied probability. The 45.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
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Stats
Spread45.5%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31

27.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion.

OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook ceases to be CEO of Apple for any length of time before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
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