Live prediction market odds for Top Global Netflix Show this week?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-26
This market resolved on 2026-05-26. Nemesis was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the top global Netflix show for the week of May 26, 2026. Viewing trends, audience ratings, and social media buzz will influence which show captures the top spot, impacting future production decisions and marketing strategies.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
NemesisWINNER | 95% | 96% |
Devil May Cry: Season 2 | 1% | 50% |
Man on Fire | 1% | 50% |
Perfect Match: Season 4 |
Factors include viewer ratings, streaming hours, and social media engagement. These elements can shift rapidly, affecting the odds in prediction markets.
Netflix updates its global show rankings weekly based on viewership data. This frequent update cycle allows for dynamic shifts in prediction market odds.
The top show can drive subscriber growth and retention for Netflix. Producers use this data to inform future content development and marketing efforts.
Top Global Netflix Show this week was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nemesis led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Devil May Cry: Season 2 at 26%, Man on Fire at 26%, Perfect Match: Season 4 at 26%.
Nemesis held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nemesis, Devil May Cry: Season 2 at 26% and Man on Fire at 26% and Perfect Match: Season 4 at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Nemesis
95.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Man on Fire: Season 1 is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on May 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on May 26, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday.
| 1% |
| 50% |
The Roast of Kevin Hart | 1% | 50% |
Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 | 1% | 50% |
