Live prediction market odds for UEFA Champions League Golden Boot. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-30
This market resolved on 2026-05-30. Kylian Mbappe was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the UEFA Champions League Golden Boot race, which culminates on May 30, 2026. This prestigious award highlights the top goal-scorer in one of the world's most competitive football tournaments, influencing player legacies and club reputations.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Kylian MbappeWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Bukayo Saka | 1% | 50% |
Desire Doue | 1% | 50% |
Erling Haaland |
The UEFA Champions League Golden Boot is awarded to the top goal-scorer in the UEFA Champions League tournament. It recognizes individual excellence in a highly competitive football environment.
Winning the Golden Boot can significantly enhance a player's reputation and marketability. It often leads to increased interest from top clubs and can influence contract negotiations.
Odds are influenced by players' current form, injuries, team performance, and historical scoring patterns. Additionally, match fixtures and the competitiveness of opponents can also affect predictions.
UEFA Champions League Golden Boot was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kylian Mbappe led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Bukayo Saka at 26%, Desire Doue at 26%, Erling Haaland at 26%.
Kylian Mbappe held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Kylian Mbappe, Bukayo Saka at 26% and Desire Doue at 26% and Erling Haaland at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Kylian Mbappe leads UEFA Champions League in goals scored for the 2025-26 season (including league phase and knockout rounds), then the market resolves to Yes.
If multiple participants finish with exactly the same goal total and the league does not declare a single winner via official tiebreakers, “Yes” contracts for each tied participant will pay $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent). “No” contracts will pay $1 minus the applicable Yes payout.
| 50% |
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1% | 50% |
Lamine Yamal | 1% | 50% |
Viktor Gyokeres | 1% | 50% |
de Jesus Joao Pedro | 1% | 50% |
Joao Pedro | 1% | 50% |
Robert Lewandowski | 1% | 50% |
Hugo Ekitike | 0% | 50% |
Jose Vinicius Junior | 0% | 50% |
Lautaro Martinez | 0% | 50% |
Marcos Rashford | 0% | 50% |
Mohamed Salah | 0% | 50% |
Raphinha | 0% | 50% |
Serhou Guirassy | 0% | 50% |
Vinicius Junior | 0% | 50% |
Kylian Mbappe
74.5% avg
