Live prediction market odds for What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-31
This market resolved on 2025-12-31. ↑ 125,000 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
↑ 125,000WINNER | 99% | 100% |
↑ 130,000 | 1% | 50% |
↑ 140,000 | 1% | 50% |
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). ↑ 125,000 led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include ↑ 130,000 at 26%, ↑ 140,000 at 26%.
↑ 125,000 held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind ↑ 125,000, ↑ 130,000 at 26% and ↑ 140,000 at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: ↑ 125,000: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. ↑ 130,000: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. ↑ 140,000: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that ↑ 125,000 would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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↑ 125,000
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the price of Bitcoin is Above 129999.99 by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
