Live prediction market odds for What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-16
This market resolved on 2026-03-16. Alpamayo was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Jensen Huang will say during the NVIDIA GTC Keynote. Insights from this keynote can influence market trends in technology and investment, particularly in AI and graphics processing sectors.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
AlpamayoWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Anthropic | 99% | 100% |
Blackwell | 99% | 100% |
Data Center | 99% | 100% |
Jensen Huang's keynote is a major event for the tech industry, often unveiling new products and strategies. His announcements can significantly influence stock prices and investor sentiment in the tech sector.
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the outcomes of specific statements or announcements. The odds reflect collective expectations based on various factors, including past performance and current trends.
Predictions may be influenced by recent developments in technology, competitive actions from other companies, and market reactions to prior announcements. Analysts also consider the current economic climate and investor interests in AI and graphics technologies.
What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alpamayo led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Anthropic at 100%, Blackwell at 100%, Data Center at 100%.
Alpamayo held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Alpamayo, Anthropic at 100% and Blackwell at 100% and Data Center at 100% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jensen Huang says Alpamayo as part of NVIDIA GTC 2026 Keynote, then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the NVIDIA GTC 2026 Keynote will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the NVIDIA GTC 2026 Keynote will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
PolymarketJensen Huang is scheduled to deliver a keynote at the NVIDIA GTC event on March 16, 2026, 2PM ET (https://www.nvidia.com/gtc/keynote/?regcode=no-ncid&ncid=no-ncid). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jensen Huang says the listed term during the event on March 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the NVIDIA GTC keynote on March 16, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
PolymarketAlpamayo
99.5% avg
