Live prediction market odds for What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-02
This market resolved on 2026-04-02. Iran was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Trump will say during the White House Easter Egg Roll in 2026. This event garners attention as it reflects Trump's ongoing influence in American politics and public discourse, potentially impacting his supporters and critics alike.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
IranWINNER | 100% | 50% |
Movie star | 100% | 50% |
Sleepy Joe / Biden | 100% | 50% |
Ballroom | 7% | 50% |
Trump's remarks during the Easter Egg Roll can shape public perception and media narratives. His statements may also energize his base or provoke reactions from opponents.
Odds are influenced by current events, polling data, and historical context surrounding Trump's rhetoric. Market participants analyze these factors to gauge potential outcomes.
Current political climate, recent controversies, and ongoing campaigns may all impact what Trump chooses to say. Additionally, audience reactions and media coverage can shape his messaging.
What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Iran led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Movie star at 75%, Sleepy Joe / Biden at 75%, Ballroom at 28%.
Iran held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Iran, Movie star at 75% and Sleepy Joe / Biden at 75% and Ballroom at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 49.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Iran
74.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump says Movie Star as part of The White House Easter Egg Roll, then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details. Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
