Live prediction market odds for Who will attend the Oscars?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Hudson Williams was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking attendance predictions for the Oscars on March 15, 2026. Celebrity presence at this prestigious event can influence media coverage and public interest, making attendance a focal point for fans and industry insiders alike.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Hudson WilliamsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Hudson WilliamsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Kylie Jenner | 99% | 100% |
Kylie Jenner | 99% | 100% |
Zendaya | 99% | 100% |
Zendaya | 99% | 100% |
Connor Storrie | 2% | 50% |
Connor Storrie | 2% | 50% |
Kevin Hart | 2% | 50% |
Kevin Hart | 2% | 50% |
Margot Robbie | 1% | 50% |
Margot Robbie | 1% | 50% |
Taylor Swift | 1% | 50% |
Taylor Swift | 1% | 50% |
Factors include nominees, industry connections, and promotional strategies by studios. Celebrities often attend to support their films or peers, enhancing their visibility.
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the likelihood of specific outcomes, such as celebrity attendance. Prices fluctuate based on public sentiment, news, and social media trends.
Attendance at the Oscars is significant as it shapes public perception and media narratives around the film industry. High-profile attendees can attract more viewers and generate buzz for the event.
Who will attend the Oscars was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hudson Williams led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Hudson Williams at 100%, Kylie Jenner at 100%, Kylie Jenner at 100%.
Hudson Williams held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Hudson Williams, Hudson Williams at 100% and Kylie Jenner at 100% and Kylie Jenner at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Zendaya attends the Oscars in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Attending the red carpet or the ceremony proper is included.
PolymarketThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 98th Academy Awards. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the Academy Awards is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hudson Williams
99.5% avg
