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Live prediction market odds for Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026?

2026-05-01

About This Market

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026: current odds are unavailable. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026. The outcome will shape the party's strategy and influence the state's political landscape leading up to the general election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
BW
Ben Wikler
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
BH
Brett Hulsey
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
DC
David Crowley
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
99.9%0¢100¢0¢100¢
FH
Francesca Hong
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
JB
Joel Brennan
single venue
Kalshi100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.1%0¢100¢0¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Candidate Spotlight

About David Crowley

David Crowley is the current Milwaukee County Executive, having been reelected in April 2024. He previously served three years in the Wisconsin State Assembly, representing the 17th district. He is running for the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in 2026.

About Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong is a Democratic state representative from Madison, Wisconsin. She co-owned Morris Ramen, a restaurant in downtown Madison, and is a member of the Wisconsin Legislative Socialist Caucus. She is running for governor in the 2026 election, emphasizing progressive policies for working-class families.

About Mandela Barnes

Mandela Barnes is a Democratic politician and former Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin. He served as Wisconsin's 45th Lieutenant Governor from 2019 to 2023 and was the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022. Barnes announced his candidacy for the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election on December 2, 2025, aiming to address issues of affordability and healthcare access.

About Sara Rodriguez

Sara Rodriguez is the current Lieutenant Governor of Wisconsin, serving since January 2023. Before this, she was a member of the Wisconsin State Assembly from 2021 to 2023. She is running for the Democratic nomination for governor in the 2026 election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates11
Leader

Ben Wikler

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If David Crowley wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Wisconsin Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee in Wisconsin?

Factors include polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising capabilities. Additionally, the political climate and voter sentiment in Wisconsin will play a crucial role.

When is the primary election for the Democratic nominee?

The primary election for the Democratic nominee in Wisconsin is scheduled for May 1, 2026. This date is critical as it determines who will represent the party in the general election.

How do prediction markets work for political events?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes, providing insights into public sentiment.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin in 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Ben Wikler: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; Brett Hulsey: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; David Crowley: 99.9¢ on Kalshi; Francesca Hong: 0.1¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Swiss initiatives: September 2026

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Final odds
No price history available

Prediction Market Track Record

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?LOSTPre-event: 96%

Prediction Market Track Record

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?LOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Resolved

2026-08-11

LOSTMandela Barnes
Pre-event: 0%