Who will be the Democratic nominee for PA-03 in 2026? |…

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Who will be the Democratic nominee for PA-03 in 2026?

About This Market

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district in 2026.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district in 2026. This race is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in Congress and reflect broader trends in voter sentiment within the state.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

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Final Closing Odds

Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.

Question	Result
Ala Stanford	No result
Candidate A	No result
Candidate B	No result
Candidate C	No result
Candidate D	No result
Candidate E	No result
Candidate F	No result
Candidate G	No result
Candidate H	No result

Candidate Spotlight

About Ala Stanford

Ala Stanford is a professor at the University of Pennsylvania and founder of the Dr. Ala Stanford Center for Health Equity. She previously served as the regional director for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. She is currently a candidate for the Democratic nomination for Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district in the 2026 election.

About Chris Rabb

Chris Rabb is a Democratic candidate for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 election. He served five terms as State Representative for the 200th District in Northwest Philadelphia, a seat once held by Mayor Cherelle L. Parker. His candidacy is significant as he seeks to succeed retiring U.S. Representative Dwight Evans, aiming to represent a district considered one of the most Democratic in the nation.

About Sharif Street

Sharif Street is a Democratic member of the Pennsylvania State Senate, representing the 3rd district since 2017. He served as Chair of the Pennsylvania Democratic Party from 2022 until September 2025, when he stepped down to focus on his congressional campaign. Street is a candidate in the Democratic primary for Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district in 2026, seeking to succeed retiring Congressman Dwight Evans.

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Sharif Street wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 PA-3 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles

Democratic Party Republican Party

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic Oracledemocrats.orgConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Democratic nominee in PA-03?

Factors include candidate fundraising, endorsements, and polling data. Local issues and voter demographics also play a significant role in shaping the race.

How does the Democratic primary process work in Pennsylvania?

Pennsylvania uses a closed primary system, meaning only registered Democrats can vote in the Democratic primary. Candidates must secure a majority of delegate support to win the nomination.

Why is the PA-03 race important for the Democratic Party?

Winning PA-03 could help the Democratic Party maintain or increase its representation in Congress. The outcome may also signal shifts in voter priorities and party alignment in the region.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for PA-03 in 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

Who will be the Democratic nominee for PA-03 in 2026: what were the odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.