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Live prediction market odds for Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Francesca Jones Wins: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones

Resolved 2026-05-24

This market resolved on 2026-05-24. Francesca Jones was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-05-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Francesca JonesWINNER
99%100%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
1%0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What was "Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones" and why did it matter?

Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Francesca Jones led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Beatriz Haddad Maia at 1%.

What moved the odds on "Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones"?

Francesca Jones held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Francesca Jones, Beatriz Haddad Maia at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What were the final odds for "Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones" across platforms?

Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Francesca Jones: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Beatriz Haddad Maia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What did 99% odds for Francesca Jones mean?

A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Francesca Jones would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Winner

Market Rulebook: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Francesca Jones

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Francesca Jones wins the Jones vs Haddad Maia professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Jones vs Haddad Maia professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Beatriz Haddad Maia in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Beatriz Haddad Maia. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Haddad Maia' if Beatriz Haddad Maia advances against Francesca Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Francesca Jones

99.5% avg

No price history available