Live prediction market odds for Elise Mertens vs. Tatjana Maria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-24
This market resolved on 2026-05-24. Elise Mertens was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Elise Mertens vs. Tatjana Maria — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-05-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Elise MertensWINNER | 99% | 93% |
Tatjana Maria | 1% | 8% |
Elise Mertens vs. Tatjana Maria was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Elise Mertens led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Tatjana Maria at 4%.
Elise Mertens held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Elise Mertens, Tatjana Maria at 4% were the next closest contenders. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Elise Mertens: 99¢ on Kalshi, 93¢ on Polymarket. Tatjana Maria: 1¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. The 6.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Elise Mertens would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tatjana Maria wins the Maria vs Mertens professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Maria vs Mertens professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Elise Mertens in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elise Mertens
95.8% avg
