Live prediction market odds for Jessica Pegula vs. Kimberly Birrell. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-24
This market resolved on 2026-05-24. Jessica Pegula was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Jessica Pegula vs. Kimberly Birrell — WTA Tennis match held on 2026-05-24. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jessica PegulaWINNER | 98% | 95% |
Kimberly Birrell | 3% | 5% |
Jessica Pegula vs. Kimberly Birrell was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jessica Pegula led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Kimberly Birrell at 4%.
Jessica Pegula held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jessica Pegula, Kimberly Birrell at 4% were the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jessica Pegula: 98¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket. Kimberly Birrell: 3¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread showed moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Jessica Pegula would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jessica Pegula wins the Birrell vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Birrell vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Women Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Kimberly Birrell and Jessica Pegula in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Kimberly Birrell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jessica Pegula
96.3% avg
