Live prediction market odds for Afghanistan vs United Arab Emirates. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-23
This market resolved on 2026-02-23. Afghanistan was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
AfghanistanWINNER | 99% | 63% |
Afghanistan vs United Arab Emirates was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Afghanistan led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution.
Afghanistan held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. The 36.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Afghanistan: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. The 36.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Afghanistan would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Afghanistan vs United Arab Emirates” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Afghanistan is the winner of the Afghanistan vs United Arab Emirates professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afghanistan
81.0% avg
