Live prediction market odds for Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-08
Aldrich Potgieter leads the “Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner” event at 25.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Alexander Noren (25.5%), Andrew Novak (25.5%), Andrew Putnam (25.5%), and Ben Griffin (25.5%). A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Aldrich Potgieter leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alexander Noren at 26%, Andrew Novak at 26%, Andrew Putnam at 26%.
Aldrich Potgieter currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Aldrich Potgieter, Alexander Noren at 26% and Andrew Novak at 26% and Andrew Putnam at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Aldrich Potgieter: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Alexander Noren: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Andrew Novak: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Andrew Putnam: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Aldrich Potgieter will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard Winner?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Aldrich Potgieter
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Daniel Bennett wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, then the market resolves to Yes.
25.5% avg
